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Xtreme Team Fantasy Football Quarterback Rankings
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Peyton Manning XR: 1 CR: 1 BW: 6 Final Grade: 87% B+
2007 Projections: PassingYds: 4,458 PassingTDs: 33 INTs: 11 RushingYds: 31 Rushing TDs: 1 Fantasy Points: 297
Actual: 4,040 31 14 -5 0 258
Bottom line: Considering he lost his best receiver for most of the year we are satisfied with a B. If you took him you were happy.
On the mark prediction: "The addition of Anthony Gonzalez is an upgrade from the perpetually injured Brandon Stokley and teamed with Harrison and Wayne gives Manning plenty of talent to throw to." It took him a while but by the end of the year Gonzalez had become an important part of the Colts offense.
Drew Brees XR: 2 CR: 4 BW: 4 Final Grade: 96% A+
2007 Projections: PassingYds: 4,476 PassingTDs: 30 INTs: 13 RushingYds: 28 Rushing TDs: 0 Fantasy Points: 276
Actual: 4,423 28 18 52 1 264
Bottom Line: His painfully slow start combined with big years by other QBs made Brees's numbers seem worse than they actually were. From our perspective, any time you only miss a guys numbers by 4% you gotta be happy.
On the mark prediction: "The only truly negative stat for Brees last year was his 6 games with under 200yds. passing... we look for him to cut that number in half this season." He actually did us one better by cutting that number to two.
Carson Palmer XR: 3 CR: 2 BW: 5 Final Grade: 94% A
2007 Projections: PassingYds: 4,011 PassingTDs: 28 INTs: 15 RushingYds: 27 Fantasy Points: 245
Actual: 4,131 26 20 10 230
Bottom Line: He certainly wasn't the most dominant QB in the league, but as we said in the pre-season, his consistency makes him a great fantasy starter.
On the mark prediction: "While we love Palmer's consistency, we'd like to see more 300yd. games from a player of his caliber. (He only had 5 over the last two years." Palmer put up as many 300yd. games in 07 as he had the previous two seasons combined.
Tom Brady XR: 4 CR: 3 BW: 10 Final Grade: 63% D
2007 Projections: PassingYds: 3,917 PassingTDs: 29 INTs: 14 RushingYds: 87 Rushing TDs: 0 Fantasy Points: 252
Actual: 4,806 50 8 98 Rushing TDs: 2 Fantasy Points: 398
Bottom Line: Um, well, ah...About all we can say is that nobody expected 50 TD passes, but that doesn't change the fact that we just flat out missed this one.
Off the mark prediction: "While we're not as excited as others seem to be about the addition of Randy Moss, there's no doubt the WRs as a group are much improved from last year." Guess we should have been more excited.
Marc Bulger XR: 5 CR: 5 BW: 9 Final Grade: Incomplete
2007 Projections: PassingYds: 4,271 PassingTDs: 25 INTs: 13 RushingYds: 38
Bottom Line: Even when he played he never really looked comfortable behind that so-called offensive line.
On the mark prediction: "We have concerns about Bruce's age, and Holt's knee."
Tony Romo XR: 6 CR: 13 BW: 8 Final Grade: 82% B
2007 Projections: PassingYds: 3,947 PassingTDs: 29 INTs: 17 RushingYds: 123 Rushing TDs: 0 Fantasy Points: 246
Actual: 4,211 36 19 129 2 Fantasy Points: 299
Bottom Line: Romo was even better than we expected, but did anybody else have him ranked as a top 6 QB? Anyone who took our advice and drafted him in the 4th round got a steal.
On the mark prediction: "All Romo did in the games he started in 06 was average over 260yds. per game (only Manning, Brees, and Bulger did better)." This year it was 263yds. per game and only Brady and Brees did better.
Donovan McNabb XR: 7 CR: 6 BW: 5 Final Grade: 84% B
2007 Projections: PassingYds: 3,449 PassingTDs: 26 INTs: 13 RushingYds: 267 Rushing TDs: 3 Fantasy Points: 261
Actual: 3,324 19 7 236 0 219
Bottom Line: We told everybody to grab one of the top 6 QBs and McNabb's numbers show why. He was OK, but hardly a guy to build around.
On the mark prediction: "The only time McNabb threw for more than 3,400yds. was the year he had T.O. and is anybody really all that excited about the Eagles WRs?" Obviously, the answer remains a loud - NO.
Brett Favre XR: 9 CR: 12 BW: 7 Final Grade: 84% B
2007 Projections: PassingYds: 3,779 PassingTDs: 23 INTs: 18 RushingYds: 33 Fantasy Points: 210
Actual: 4,155 28 15 12 249
Bottom Line: We were one of the few outside Wisconsin that expected Favre to be a top 10 QB, but we were right.
On the mark prediction: "The simple fact is that he finished 6th in passing yards last year despite the fact that his favorite WR was injured for much of the season and the state of the Packer running game should mean more TD passes this season." It took the Pack half the season to develop a running game leading to Favre finishing with 10 more TD passes than 2006.
Eli Manning XR: 10 CR: 11 BW: 9 Final Grade: 97% A+
2007 Projections: PassingYds: 3,527 PassingTDs: 25 INTs: 19 RushingYds: 21 Rushing TDs: 0 Fantasy Points: 205
Actual: 3,336 23 20 69 1 198
Bottom Line: 97% on a starting QB, what more could you ask for?
On the mark prediction: "With nine games below 200yds. in 2006 he was hardly a fantasy stud, but we do expect him to cut that number to 6 such games this season." Count 'em up gang. He finished the season with exactly 6 games below 200 combined yards. Now you gotta admit, combined with only missing his fantasy points by 7, that ain't bad.
Matt Hasselbeck XR: 11 CR: 7 BW: 8 Final Grade: 82% B
2007 Projections: PassingYds: 3,456 PassingTDs: 21 INTs: 12 RushingYds: 121 Fantasy Points: 211
Actual: 3,966 28 12 89 256
Bottom Line: Our failure to realize how far Shaun Alexander had fallen lead to us under-valuing Hasselbeck.
Off the mark prediction: "Other than in 2003 Hasselbeck has never surpassed the 3,500yd. or 25TD plateus, and we don't look for him to reach either of those numbers this year." Well, you can't get much more wrong than that. Sure our final grade was acceptable, but we should have had him ranked higher.
Matt Leinart XR: 12 CR: 10 BW: 8 Final Grade: Incomplete
2007 Projections: PassingYds: 3,413 PassingTDs: 22 INTs: 17 RushingYds: 81 Rushing TDs: 1
Bottom Line: Fortunately we told our members to be sure to draft Kurt Warner, regardless of rather they had Leinart or not.
On the mark prediction: "New HC Ken Whisenhunt put a young QB (Ben Roethlisberger) in position to succeed in Pittsburgh, and we look for him to do the same with Leinart. We also look for the ground game to be better this year (it couldn't get much worse), which should open up more play action possibilities as well as forcing defenses to respect the run in the red zone which will allow more quick TD passes to his WRs." A quick look at Warner's stats shows we were on the right track.
Jon Kitna XR: 8 CR: 8 BW: 6 Final Grade: 91% A
2007 Projections: PassingYds: 4,059 PassingTDs: 22 INTs: 20 RushingYds: 113 Fantasy Points: 221
Actual: 4,068 18 20 63 201
Bottom Line: When you only miss a guy's passing totals by 9 yards, you just gotta be happy.
On the mark prediction: "Kitna has always shown an ability to do well when no one was expecting much but has struggled when expectations were high." After openly talking about throwing 50 TDs, Kitna returned to the form that has made him what he is - a journeyman QB.
Ben Roethlisberger XR: 13 CR: 17 BW: 6 Final Grade: 76% C+
2007 Projections: PassingYds: 3,522 PassingTDs: 20 INTs: 18 RushingYds: 101 RushingTDs: 1 Fantasy Points: 201
Actual: 3,154 32 11 204 2 264
Bottom Line: We had Roethlisberger ranked higher than most sites, but we still didn't have him high enough.
On the mark prediction: "With the departure of HC Bill Cowher and OC Ken Whisenhunt (and assuming he can avoid hospitals between now and the regular season) we expect Roethlisberger to want to make this "his" team. As a result of that, we look for him to have career best numbers in passing yardage and passing TDs." OK, we were wrong about the yards, but not the TDs.
Phillip Rivers XR: 14 CR: 16 BW: 7 Final Grade: 93% A
2007 Projections: PassingYds: 3,477 PassingTDs: 22 INTs: 14 RushingYds: 44 RushingTDs: 0 Fantasy Points: 203
Actual: 3,152 21 15 33 1 189
Bottom Line: We were a little overly optimistic on his passing yards, but overall these numbers look awfully good.
On the mark prediction: "Rivers is destined to always be known as "the guy who handed the ball to LaDanian Tomlinson" and will never post huge numbers as long as LT is healthy. So why do we have him ranked here? For the same reason. Teams are so focused on stopping Tomlinson that Rivers can throw a TD pass once a week by accident." Well, maybe not quite once a week.
Vince Young XR: 15 CR: 9 BW: 4 Final Grade: 70% C
2007 Projections: PassingYds: 2,776 PassingTDs: 16 INTs: 18 RushingYds: 589 RushingTDs: 6 Fantasy Points: 233
Actual: 2,546 9 17 395 3 162
Bottom Line: Well, we told you he was over-rated, but he was even worse than we thought. Nine TD passes? Are you kidding?
On the mark prediction: "Is Young talented? Obviously. Is he exciting? You bet. Do I want him as my fantasy starter? No way. Yeah we know we're pretty much on our own on this one, but we're not worried. We're talking about a guy who failed to throw for 100yds. 3 painful times last year." Unbelievably in 2007 he was even worse, failing to throw for 100yds. a mind numbing 4 times.
Jake Delhomme XR: 16 CR: 18 BW: 7 Final Grade: Incomplete
2007 Projections: PassingYds: 3,289 PassingTDs: 22 INTs: 18 RushingYds: 19
Bottom Line: Healthy or not, Delhomme is too inconsistent to be your starter.
On the mark prediction: "To further complicate matters for Delhomme, he heads into this season without a true possession receiver. (His 3rd down QB ranking was a paltry 55.5 last year.) There is hope that Dwayne Jarrett will fill that role, but we're not willing to bank on that." As we feared, Jarrett was a total bust last season.
Chad Pennington XR: 20 CR: 20 BW: 10 Final Grade: Incomplete
2007 Projections: PassingYds: 3,317 PassingTDs: 18 INTs: 15 RushingYds: 22
Bottom Line: Pennington never has been and never will be a consistent fantasy QB.
On the mark prediction: "After a monster start last year Pennington reverted to his old form by failing to throw for 200yds. in 7 of his next 8 games. His totals for October and November were a pathetic 170yds. per game, 6TDs and 10INTs, and if you toss out the first two games he only averaged 194yds. per game for the season...on the road last year he threw more INTs than TDs while finishing with a QB rating of just 79.4 away from the Meadowlands." Our only surprise was that he didn't get benched sooner.
Jay Cutler XR: 17 CR: 14 BW: 6 Final Grade: 83% B
2007 Projections: PassingYds: 3,323 PassingTDs: 18 INTs: 16 RushingYds: 69 Rushing TDs: 0 Fantasy Points: 180
Actual: 3,497 20 14 205 1 218
Bottom Line: His season looks better than it was because of two big games. The other 14 weeks he was average at best.
On the mark prediction: "Before you get too excited about Cutler (we've seen him ranked as high as 9th) remember that the Broncos offense is set up to create big running back numbers, not big QB numbers." Even with the running game producing less than expected, Cutler failed to break the 250yd. mark in 10 of the Broncos 16 games.
Matt Schaub XR: 18 CR: 24 BW: Final Grade: Incomplete
2007 Projections: PassingYds: 3,247 PassingTDs: 17 INTs: 16 RushingYds: 117 Rushing TDs: 1
Bottom Line: Anybody who gets hurt this often should not be drafted to be your fantasy starter.
On the mark prediction: "The Texans system (under HC Gary Kubiak) is similar to the Broncos which means it would be unrealistic to expect monster numbers from Schaub." He did do slightly better than we expected largely due to a non-existent running game.
Steve McNair XR: 19 CR: 22 BW: 8 Final Grade: Incomplete
2007 Projections: PassingYds: 3,212 PassingTDs: 17 INTs: 14 RushingYds: 108 RushingTDs: 1
Bottom Line: Even if he had stayed healthy it is doubtful that he would have reached our projections.
On the mark prediction: "Well, he was better than Kyle Boller. That's about all we can say about McNair's 2006 season. In addition, McNair made some very poor decisions and could easily have had even more INTs (he had several dropped by defensive backs)." Well, they didn't drop them in 2007. McNair made even more poor decisions and looked like a guy who should have retired.
Trent Green XR: 21 CR: 25 BW: 9 Final Grade: Incomplete
2007 Projections: PassingYds: 3,231 PassingTDs: 18 INTs: 13 RushingYds: 27
Bottom Line: Green never got the credit he deserved in KC, but now someone needs to tell him it's time to hang it up.
On the mark prediction: "However, after returning to action last year Green never looked comfortable in the pocket and made lots of bad decisions. (Throw out the Browns game and he finished the regular season with 3TDs and 8INTs.) In addition to that, the Dolphins OL allowed 41 sacks last year - not good news for a 37yr. old QB one year removed from a terrible concussion." Only Green was surprised that he was unable to finish last season.
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Jeff Garcia XR: 23 CR: 28 BW: 10 Final Grade: 89% B
2007 Projections: PassingYds: 3,098 PassingTDs: 16 INTs: 12 RushingYds: 93 RushingTDs: 1 Fantasy Points: 179
Actual: 2,440 13 4 116 1 160
Bottom Line: Garcia did what Gruden wanted him to do - not make mistakes. That's fine for the NFL, but a fantasy football killer.
On the mark prediction: "Welcome to Tampa Bay Jeff, the land that offense forgot. Joey Galloway is 35, Michael Clayton looks like a bust, and new TE Jerramy Stevens is, well, Jerramy Stevens. We like Garcia, we just don't think he has the tools around him to manage a repeat of last year." That not only sums up last year, it's a glimpse of what we look for again in 2008.
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Jason Campbell XR: 27 CR: 23 BW: 4 Final Grade: 93% A
2007 Projections: PassingYds: 2,882 PassingTDs: 16 INTs: 15 RushingYds: 167 RushingTDs: 1 Fantasy Points: 172
Actual: 2,700 12 11 185 1 159
Bottom Line: The Redskins offense was exactly what we expected it to be - boring.
On the mark prediction: "When he does get to air it out he has a less than stellar group of WRs to work with. Santana Moss is over-rated, Randle El is over-hyped, and Brandon Lloyd is over-paid." As we expected, all of those "overs" added up to one big under-achieving offense.
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Tarvaris Jackson XR: 31 CR: 29 BW: 5 Final Grade: 92% A
2007 Projections: PassingYds: 2,799 PassingTDs: 12 INTs: 19 RushingYds: 97 RushingTDs: 2 Fantasy Points: 144
Actual: 1,911 9 12 260 3 132
Bottom Line: We told you he wasn't ready.
On the mark prediction: "You can make a strong case that the Vikings WRs are the worst in the league, which doesn't bode well for a young QB trying to find his way...look for Jackson to claim the last fantasy spot among starting NFL QBs." Jackson's performance was so consistently bad that not even Vikings fans had him on their fantasy rosters as a back-up.
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In a year that saw some interesting twists and turns, we finished the season with a final overall grade of B+ for our QB rankings, with an 87% score. That score included 7 A's, 7 B's, 2 C's, and unfortunately 1 D. Now honestly, wouldn't you have been thrilled with that kind of grade when you were in high school? Our two biggest misses were Tom Brady and Vince Young. The kicker is we were high on Brady, but just not high enough (but then again who was?). Likewise we advised our members to stay away from Vince Young, but our projections though lower than just about everybody else were not low enough. We took particular pride in our projections for Tony Romo. While most sites were projecting him as a # 2 fantasy QB with an average rank or "CR" of 13, we were very bold in predicting that he would be an elite fantasy QB. Needless to say, a lot of our members rode his performance into their fantasy playoffs.
Grading Scale: 96-100%: A+ 90-95%: A 85-89%: B+ 80-84%: B 75-79%: C+ 70-74%: C 65-69%: D+ 60-64%: D
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